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Live Event: Category-3 Fiona Skirts Bermuda, on Final Approach to Atlantic Canada

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Key Fiona Headlines

  • Bermuda Assessment: While Fiona's windfield is undergoing meaningful expansion, the core of hurricane conditions remain offshore of the island. With the most stringent building standards in the Atlantic basin, there is minimal expectation of insured losses for Bermuda.
  • Final Approach to Atlantic Canada: The forecast is unchanged, with a historic event unfolding across Atlantic Canada in the next 48 hours. See our updates from Wednesday and Thursday for forecast details.  
  • Potential Insured Impacts to Canada: The top ten insured loss events in history for Canada do not include a hurricane event. Moreover, Fiona is expected to track between Halifax, NS to the west (population ~350,000) and St. John, NF well to the east (population 185,000). The population centers of most concern is Prince Edward Island (155,000) and Sydney, NS (106,000) on the eastern end of the province. While possible Fiona ultimately breaks into the top ten insured losses of all-time, the fortunate track indicates this will likely not be a top three insured loss event.
  • Tropical Depression #9:  A separate Live Event post will be made later today regarding the escalating risk of Tropical Depression #9 in the Caribbean and longer term US implications.

 

Hurricane Fiona passing Bermuda heading to Atlantic Canada. Source: Weathernerds.org.
Hurricane Fiona passing Bermuda heading to Atlantic Canada. Source: Weathernerds.org.
Top ten insured losses on record for Canada  Source: Insurance Bureau of Canada.
Top ten insured losses on record for Canada Source: Insurance Bureau of Canada.
Population density map of Nova Scotia; with an anticipated landfall over eastern Nova Scotia, the core of highest winds will be east of the largest Atlantic Canada population center of Halifax, NS.  Source: Environment Canada.
Population density map of Nova Scotia; with an anticipated landfall over eastern Nova Scotia, the core of highest winds will be east of the largest Atlantic Canada population center of Halifax, NS. Source: Environment Canada.
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